May 28, 2012
The Origins of Political Order, Ch 17: The Origins of the Rule of Law

I burned pretty quickly through about half of the book.  It was fascinating, mostly it an historical survey of Indian, Chinese, and Middle Eastern history.  There were some fairly interesting comparisons between the regimes, and you can see how the political institutions (especially Chinese statehood) of the past have dramatically affected the political institutions of the present.

But the chapters on the rule of law have been the most exciting for me.  

There is a large literature that links the establishment of the rule of law to economic development.  This literature reflects at base an important insight, namely, that the emergence of the modern world, including the emergence of a capitalist economy, was broadly dependent on the prior existence of a rule of law.  The absence of a strong rule of law is indeed one of the principal reasons why poor countries can’t achieve higher rates of growth.

pg. 247

Interesting.  But he continues:

…it is perfectly possible to have “good enough” property rights and contract enforcement that permit economic development without the existence of a true rule of law in the sense of the law being the final sovereign.  A good example is the People’s Republic of China.  There is no true rule of law in China today:  the Chinese Communist Party does not accept the authority of any other institution in China as superior to it or able to overturn its decisions.

pg. 248-49

In other words, the more liberal / Western idea of rule of law is not needed in order for economic growth.  This isn’t to suggest that Fukuyama believes rule of law as we have it here isn’t desirable:  he notes at other points in the book that things like human freedoms and rights are often swept aside in nation’s like the PRC.  He is merely pointing out that, from an economic standpoint, it is possible to have growth without robust rule of law.

He then discusses the English Common Law, explaining why it developed in England and not in other European countries, where the civil law system was preferred.  Finally, some more interesting thoughts:

The rule of law rests on the law itself and on the visible institutions that administer it — judges, lawyers, courts, and the like.  IT also rests on the formal procedures by which those institutions operate.  But the proper functioning of a rule of law is as much a normative as an institutional or a procedural manner.  The vast majority of people in any peaceful society obey the law not so much because they are making a rational calculation about costs and benefits, and fear punishment.  They obey because they believe that law is fundamentally fair, and they are morally habituated to follow it.  They are much less inclined to obey the law if they believe that it is unjust.

pg. 259-60

May 23, 2012
More Hope for Peace with Iran

From the NYT, Yukiya Amano, director general of the IAEA, has stated that Iran may allow IAEA investigators into the country to evaluate the potentiality for military use of nuclear energy.

Yukiya Amano of the IAEA

Israeli and some American officials seemed skeptical of Mr. Amano’s announcement.  Hopefully, this is another step to peaceful resolution.

May 22, 2012
From the Economist.

On all counts, Iran is now very close to the nuclear threshold. It already has about 6,000kg of 3.5% LEU, enough to produce about five bombs-worth of weapons-grade HEU. Using the four centrifuge cascades at the new Fordow enrichment site, near the holy city of Qom, and 15 additional cascades at the main Natanz site (each has between 164 and 174 centrifuges), it has recently tripled production of 19.75% LEU to about 13kg a month. It may now have a stockpile of 150kg—near to the 185kg needed to produce the 15-20kg of HEU required for a moderately sophisticated implosion device (although about twice that amount of 19.75% LEU would be needed for a first bomb because of initial wastage).

From the Economist.

On all counts, Iran is now very close to the nuclear threshold. It already has about 6,000kg of 3.5% LEU, enough to produce about five bombs-worth of weapons-grade HEU. Using the four centrifuge cascades at the new Fordow enrichment site, near the holy city of Qom, and 15 additional cascades at the main Natanz site (each has between 164 and 174 centrifuges), it has recently tripled production of 19.75% LEU to about 13kg a month. It may now have a stockpile of 150kg—near to the 185kg needed to produce the 15-20kg of HEU required for a moderately sophisticated implosion device (although about twice that amount of 19.75% LEU would be needed for a first bomb because of initial wastage).

May 21, 2012
This is a map of Detroit that shows the devastation of economic ruin.  The accompanying article is here, written by the Detroit Free Press.

This is a map of Detroit that shows the devastation of economic ruin.  The accompanying article is here, written by the Detroit Free Press.

9:13pm  |   URL: http://tmblr.co/Z8tcrvLvg8V1
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Filed under: detroit america maps 
May 21, 2012
findyourflower:

occupyla:

visrectevivere:

Controversial Amnesty International poster.

Let’s talk about institutionalized organizations and ‘representative’ activism. WTF.

Okay. What. In the fuck? Let’s discuss this.
Everyone in the United States needs to fucking watch Sicko! by Michael Moore. EVERYONE. In it, Michael Moore talks to Aleida Guevara, Che Guevara’s daughter who is a doctor in Cuba.
He was just talking to her about health care in Cuba and things of the like, and Aleida somehow brought up the fact that people ask her opinions on things SHE CANNOT FUCKING UNDERSTAND.
FOR EXAMPLEHijabs. Abayas. Burqas. Women in the Middle East or Muslim women or just women in general who want to cover themselves and or do it on a daily basis. She said people come up to her and say “Aleida, what do you think about women wearing or not wearing coverings based on their religion?”
AND ALEIDA SAYS, EVERY TIME, BECAUSE SHE IS FUCKING SMART:“That is not my culture. I do not understand it. So I have no opinion about it because it is inaccessible to me.”
IT IS NOT MY CULTURE. NO MATTER HOW MANY FUCKING BOOKS I READ OR PEOPLE I INTERVIEW, IT IS NEVER GOING TO BE MY CULTURE AND I THEREFORE CAN NEVER FULLY UNDERSTAND IT! SO I DON’T FUCKING HAVE AN OPINION ON IT! BECAUSE THAT WOULD BE PROJECTING MY CULTURE ONTO SOMEONE ELSE’S CULTURE.
Yes women need education. Yes they should have rights. No I don’t know very many of the issues going on for Afghan women,
BUT THIS WAS A POOR PHOTO CHOICE ON AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL’S PART.
ACTUALLY.

I was sort of surprised that people reacted so strongly to this poster.  
I suppose there are two likely reasons people find the poster objectionable:
First, they may disagree that NATO has done anything positive for women and girls in Afghanistan.  That’s an argument that I can certainly understand and that I might even be able to accept, given some data.  I think most of the evidence is sort of inconclusive, though I’d truly doubt that women’s rights in Afghanistan have decayed since 2001.
But, it goes without saying that just because things have improved, it is not certain that NATO or military action was necessary for the improvement of the conditions of women in Afghanistan.
And a final reply to that:  we’re in it, now.  It seems that whatever small gains of women in Afghanistan are dependent on the isolation of the Taliban.  Does NATO need to be in Afghanistan in order for the Taliban to be held at bay?  That’s a good question.
So, the poster’s implication as a statement of fact can definitely leave us with some doubt.
But second, we might object because we see this as a form of cultural imperialism.  I find this argument far less convincing, but I’d be interested to receive some input on the matter.

findyourflower:

occupyla:

visrectevivere:

Controversial Amnesty International poster.

Let’s talk about institutionalized organizations and ‘representative’ activism. WTF.

Okay. What. In the fuck? Let’s discuss this.

Everyone in the United States needs to fucking watch Sicko! by Michael Moore. EVERYONE. In it, Michael Moore talks to Aleida Guevara, Che Guevara’s daughter who is a doctor in Cuba.

He was just talking to her about health care in Cuba and things of the like, and Aleida somehow brought up the fact that people ask her opinions on things SHE CANNOT FUCKING UNDERSTAND.

FOR EXAMPLE
Hijabs. Abayas. Burqas. Women in the Middle East or Muslim women or just women in general who want to cover themselves and or do it on a daily basis. She said people come up to her and say “Aleida, what do you think about women wearing or not wearing coverings based on their religion?”

AND ALEIDA SAYS, EVERY TIME, BECAUSE SHE IS FUCKING SMART:
“That is not my culture. I do not understand it. So I have no opinion about it because it is inaccessible to me.”

IT IS NOT MY CULTURE. NO MATTER HOW MANY FUCKING BOOKS I READ OR PEOPLE I INTERVIEW, IT IS NEVER GOING TO BE MY CULTURE AND I THEREFORE CAN NEVER FULLY UNDERSTAND IT! SO I DON’T FUCKING HAVE AN OPINION ON IT! BECAUSE THAT WOULD BE PROJECTING MY CULTURE ONTO SOMEONE ELSE’S CULTURE.

Yes women need education. Yes they should have rights. No I don’t know very many of the issues going on for Afghan women,

BUT THIS WAS A POOR PHOTO CHOICE ON AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL’S PART.

ACTUALLY.

I was sort of surprised that people reacted so strongly to this poster.  

I suppose there are two likely reasons people find the poster objectionable:

First, they may disagree that NATO has done anything positive for women and girls in Afghanistan.  That’s an argument that I can certainly understand and that I might even be able to accept, given some data.  I think most of the evidence is sort of inconclusive, though I’d truly doubt that women’s rights in Afghanistan have decayed since 2001.

But, it goes without saying that just because things have improved, it is not certain that NATO or military action was necessary for the improvement of the conditions of women in Afghanistan.

And a final reply to that:  we’re in it, now.  It seems that whatever small gains of women in Afghanistan are dependent on the isolation of the Taliban.  Does NATO need to be in Afghanistan in order for the Taliban to be held at bay?  That’s a good question.

So, the poster’s implication as a statement of fact can definitely leave us with some doubt.

But second, we might object because we see this as a form of cultural imperialism.  I find this argument far less convincing, but I’d be interested to receive some input on the matter.

(via sodcalm-getangry)

May 21, 2012
Economist on NATO and Russia

V. Putin

The Economist is urging a hard stance against Russia on the recent talks about the U.S.’s plans to place missile interceptors in Europe.

The Russians are obviously nervous about this.  It threatens the strategic balance of the region because it makes Russia’s position more vulnerable to the West.  The U.S. for her part has assured Russia that the interceptors are being placed in order to deter Iranian nuclear aggression.

Interestingly, it seems that Russia is paying for its support of Tehran.  Perhaps if it had been more willing to deal with Iran’s nuclear program with the level of concern that Europe and the U.S. had, it would have done more to prevent Iran’s continuing nuclear weapons program.

May 20, 2012
How Obama Missed an Opportunity for Middle East Peace

leaveamarc:

by Steven White and PJ Dermer

Why did the president ignore the only part of the “peace process” that was working?

May 19, 2012
Emergency: a Pacifist Hospital in Kabul

Probably one of the best articles I’ve read on the situation in Afghanistan:  it’s sure to be considered one of the best works of journalism to come out of our war in Afghanistan.

Photo by Pieter Ten Hoopen/Agence Vu

The article is lengthy, but worth the read.  One of the better passages concerned the story of a man who died while at the hospital:  it was extraordinarily sad.

The war in Afghanistan started when I was in eighth grade:  I have graduated from high school, college, have worked, and have subsequently started law school since its beginning.  In a way, it’s been an ever-present reality for me as an adult.  That’s why an article that can actually bring home the tragedy, the sickness, of war home is so astounding.

The article is certainly critical of NATO and NATO hospitals.  Given the terrible things the author assuredly saw, anger is probably the proper feeling.

A man being treated in Emergency

The point is, if we are to support and to continue to support a foreign policy regime that advocates the use of military force in order to protect the U.S., we should face up to the consequences.  I suppose it’s a lesson.  It’s easy to be stone-faced and solemn when one says that military action is occasionally necessary when one is sitting comfortably a world away from the actual violence.

But when the realities of violence are made explicit, it’s not quite as easy.

We should have to face the consequences of our actions.  That doesn’t mean that the answer will never be military action, but it does mean that when we use violence to achieve a foreign policy goal, we should at least be willing to stomach the consequences.

Dead and dying at Emergency

One final note:  we owe the people of Afghanistan better than this.

May 19, 2012
Hopeful Signs for Peaceful Nuclear Resolution

American diplomats heading to Baghdad are optimistic about the chances of a peaceful resolution with Iran surrounding its nuclear development program.

It seems that the threat of economic sanctions are being taken seriously by Tehran:

The oil sanctions, which the Iranians are seeking desperately to avoid, are one of several factors that American officials believe may make Tehran more amenable to exploring a diplomatic solution. In addition, the recent decline in oil prices has magnified the pain of the existing sanctions on Iran; a new government coalition in Israel has strengthened the hand of its hawkish leader, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu; and Americans believe that recent blustery statements from Iranian officials are laying the groundwork for concessions by Tehran.

Others are not so optimistic.  They still see Tehran as unwilling to stop the development of its nuclear program.

May 18, 2012
Ambassador Shapiro Says U.S. Prepared for Iran Strikes

Ambassador Dan Shapiro

From the NYT:

“It would be preferable to resolve this diplomatically and through the use of pressure than to use military force,”the ambassador, Dan Shapiro, said Tuesday at a meeting of the Israeli bar association. “But that doesn’t mean that option is not fully available. And not just available, but it’s ready. The necessary planning has been done to ensure that it’s ready.”

While American leaders, including President Obama and his defense secretary and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, have frequently said all options are on the table regarding Iran, the notion of specific plans being made is not something they typically talk about.

The Iran nuclear issue has been receiving slightly less coverage the past few months.

But it seems that the possibility of strikes against Iran still exists.  The fact that the United States has been preparing for such a strike is not hot news:  public acknowledgment of military preparations was given months ago.

The question still seems to be one of timing.  How much time does Israel have before its military capabilities are insufficient for a damaging strike?  How much times does the U.S. have before its military capabilities are insufficient?  And how much does Israel trust the U.S. to follow through with strikes should Israel’s window of opportunity close?

Diplomacy may still (hopefully) ease tensions and lead to peaceful resolution of the conflict.  I can’t help but wonder if Iran is simply playing its cards close to its chest, hoping to run the clock as long as possible in order to achieve a superior bargaining position in negotiations.